Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.515320 0.594472 0.680737 0.781606 0.896178 1.022132 1.170951
2025-08-03 0.383268 0.491598 0.621393 0.787730 0.994555 1.242523 1.561556
2025-08-10 0.305340 0.423777 0.575952 0.784456 1.061157 1.414001 1.896004
2025-08-17 0.250503 0.371377 0.535972 0.774261 1.107743 1.554723 2.195371
2025-08-24 0.210663 0.331038 0.503530 0.765525 1.149405 1.686397 2.488203
2025-08-31 0.175596 0.291231 0.464909 0.740552 1.161639 1.773846 2.722154
2025-09-07 0.162723 0.282760 0.470490 0.779834 1.269452 2.004857 3.179687
2025-09-14 0.139309 0.253740 0.440129 0.759012 1.281820 2.092762 3.428187
2025-09-21 0.119932 0.228493 0.412297 0.738124 1.290310 2.173012 3.668297
2025-09-28 0.104453 0.207734 0.389149 0.721726 1.303195 2.259293 3.922173
2025-10-05 0.096393 0.199269 0.386040 0.738869 1.373082 2.442264 4.345559
2025-10-12 0.091982 0.197037 0.393622 0.775298 1.478842 2.691982 4.897268
2025-10-19 0.085804 0.190764 0.393457 0.798321 1.564249 2.915977 5.426544
2025-10-26 0.078338 0.180894 0.385388 0.805749 1.622080 3.096709 5.895011
2025-11-02 0.070640 0.169394 0.372654 0.802498 1.658996 3.241879 6.309252
2025-11-09 0.063188 0.157320 0.357264 0.792092 1.680708 3.360026 6.681554
2025-11-16 0.056773 0.146629 0.343424 0.783170 1.704031 3.482049 7.068450
2025-11-23 0.049777 0.133521 0.322799 0.757664 1.691248 3.533593 7.324338
2025-11-30 0.048505 0.134064 0.332300 0.797785 1.816739 3.862037 8.135873
2025-12-07 0.043007 0.123246 0.314799 0.776519 1.811030 3.930077 8.440104
2025-12-14 0.038142 0.113300 0.298104 0.755184 1.802942 3.992069 8.735412
2025-12-21 0.034099 0.104902 0.284076 0.738435 1.803155 4.070531 9.068547
2025-12-28 0.032336 0.102511 0.284510 0.755945 1.881522 4.317446 9.765377